Sandeep Pai is a Director for Research and Strategy at Swaniti Global. Send your comments to sandeep.p@swaniti.org
To keep global warming well below 2°C the world needs to decrease the production and use of coal rapidly. The technical barrier to moving to renewables has never been so small because of the falling costs of wind and solar power. But for the world’s top coal countries, significant challenges remain. From West Virginia, United States, to Chhattisgarh, India, coal production provides millions of jobs, anchors local economies, pays worker pensions, and contributes to society through taxes or directly paying social services. Even though coal production and consumption can have harmful air and water impacts, the benefits felt in coal communities are critical. For coal-dependent regions, a global energy transition will have outsized costs.
Just transition is justified by both the needs of coal communities and the need for global decarbonization. Even though the concept of just transition has been around for 40 years, it is one of the newest trends in international climate circles. But to be successful, the conception and implementation of just transition programs, policies, and politics will have to occur at the regional, state, and even municipal levels. This is an international priority, but a sub-national problem. As coal dependency is often regional, any coal transition will have outsized impacts on coal-dependent sub-national jurisdictions such as states or provinces. Many coal-dependent sub-national jurisdictions around the world will face similar losses when coal production and use diminish. To counter these losses – that range from jobs to revenue – these sub-national jurisdictions will need to formulate just transition policies focusing on economic diversification, environmental remediation, retraining of workers, and other priority topics. These coal-dependent states will also need to mobilize ideas and coordinate just transition policies with the federal government and local governments.Finding Allies In Just Transition Planning
Globally, countries and the states within them are at various stages of formulating and implementing just transition policies. For instance, in the United States (US), where the coal sector has declined rapidly over the last decade, some states are actively pursuing just transition policies. For example, Colorado created the Office of Just Transition (OJT) in 2019. This office facilitates the implementation of in the state, which focus on providing “wage and health differential” and “wage and health replacement” benefits for workers and creating diversified local communities. As another example, Mpumalanga, South Africa’s most coal-dependent province, created a “green economy cluster” to coordinate and implement just transition policies and attract investments. In contrast, most Indian coal-dependent states haven’t yet grappled with the idea of what just transition means and how to begin creating just transition policies. As states around the world navigate this transition, it is important to facilitate linkages between them, which will allow states at different stages of just transition planning to learn from one another. Such linkages and the associated peer-to-peer learning are currently lacking, including between coal-dependent states that are facing similar socio-economic declines from the energy transition. This type of sub-national peer-to-peer collaboration has worked in the past and led to fruitful outcomes in the clean energy space. Such partnerships are necessary between and across different categories of stakeholders such as:- State/provincial government officials from the Departments of Commerce, energy, industry, labor, and the environment
- Trade union representatives
- Representatives from state-level civil society organizations